The real reason Europe backs the war in Ukraine

War is the only thing keeping the European project alive.

A lot of people out there (myself included) have been scratching their heads wondering why European countries are so intent on waging war on Russia — not just through Ukraine on the battlefield but through sanctions and embargoes in the economic realm. Why would Germany point the gun at its own economy in this way, cutting itself off from the cheap Russian gas that underwrote its industrial base? Why would it turn a blind eye while the United States blew up its Nord Stream pipeline — an act of terrorism coming from its own ally — and pretend it didn’t happen? What’s the ideology driving it? What’s the game plan? What’s the thinking? Is there any? What do the technocrats running policy in Germany (the most powerful state in the EU) think they are doing? It seems so irrational and pointless.

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Well, I think I have an easy explanation: These technocrats have no choice. They are not really in control. See, the collapse of the USSR didn’t just take out the Soviet block. It also sent Europe and the entire European project into a tailspin. The entire reason for a post-WWII unified, socialism-lite Europe to exist was to counter the Soviet Union — all under protective imperial wing of the United States. When the Soviet Union suddenly collapsed and broke apart and started reverting back to the 19th century, a unified Europe had no reason to exist. There was no external counter-ideology holding it together anymore. No external foe that you could lean your entire structure on. So the more that the unified European project wobbled, the shakier it got, the more cracks developed (I’m thinking here of the Greek austerity crisis of 2009, where a Europe unified to completely fuck the Greek people, their European brothers and sisters), the more that Europe had to turn to the only thing that had unified it in the past: militarism and the Cold War. It had to recreate the enemy and it tried and tried so hard that ultimately it succeeded in actually creating one.

That’s why the seemly baffling attachment to Ukraine. That’s why European technocrats have bet everything on that conflict…why it’s so important to them. They have no positive post-Cold War vision for their beloved European Union anymore beyond a washed neoliberalism that their own people hate. They have nothing. Ukraine is their answer. Their prayer. Their hope. It’s the only that’s keeping them together. But it’s not enough. It can’t stop the collapse. In fact, it’s speeding up the collapse.

—Yasha

PS: This process is similar to something that Evgenia and I talk about all the time with respect to America. The collapse of the Soviet Union also caused a crisis in the United States. As I wrote before, “Americans think they won the Cold War, and that they defeated communism. That’s true. But it’s not clear that Americans have come out as on top of that conflict as they were led to believe. See the truth is that the USA and the USSR were connected — and the USSR and its people propped up America in ways that Americans did not understand. Now that the USSR has been replaced by a pre-revolutionary Russian society, both the former USSR and the USA have going through similar reversions to the 19th century. The processes are linked…they’re mutually reinforcing.”

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